Decision making

On decisions under uncertainty

by Jan Danhelka, a HEPEX 2015 Guest Columnist There was an interesting side meeting organized by the WMO on Multi-hazard […]

The human hydrological model

by Marie-Amélie Boucher, a HEPEX 2015 Guest Columnist Very recently, my fellow HEPEX columnist Jan Danhelka discussed the importance of the […]

“The Böögg Bang Theory” – or: Traditional seasonal forecasts in Switzerland

by Massimiliano Zappa, a HEPEX 2015 Guest Columnist Dear readers, when last year the Paris-based HEPEX co-chair (the one with […]

What makes a forecast with uncertainty valuable to practitioners?

by Sarah Michaels (University of Nebraska) "the extent to which forecasts shape decision making under uncertainty is the true measure […]

How to bring out the “intuitive statistician” in every forecaster

by Anders Persson It is all Erik Andersson’s fault. In autumn 2010, he recruited me to update the “ECMWF User […]

From ‘flood defence’ to ‘flood risk management’ …. What mixes of disciplines creatively co-working might contribute new insights to this ‘wicked problem’ and community resilience building?

By Lindsey McEwen (University of the West of England, Bristol) The floods of winter 2013-14 brought the tensions and schisms […]