Decision making

The Hidden Challenge of Forecasting Futility Part II: Exploring the Roots of Futility

Authors: F. Pappenberger, M.-H. Ramos, A. Wood Our previous post introduced “Hydrological futility” as a term when the expected benefits […]

Forecast families: a method to investigate what skills improvements have societal value

by Charles Rougé, Andrés Peñuela and Francesca Pianosi Numerical weather predictions - and hydrological forecasts that are generated based on […]

HEPEX @ AMOS2022

Contributed by James Bennett, Nick Loveday and Rob Taggart Guns n’ Roses were in town, and so was HEPEX. For […]

What is the value of seasonal forecasts for water resources management?

Contributed by Andres Peñuela, Christopher Hutton and Francesca Pianosi Improved skill of predictions for the North Atlantic circulation and Northern […]

Representative Direct Ensemble Uncertainty Visualizations: Conveying Uncertainty Using A Small Portion of The Data

Contributed by Le Liu, PhD., School of Computer Science Northwestern Polytechnical University. As we know, ensemble approaches are widely adopted to […]

“Are we talking just a bit of water out of bank? Or is it Armageddon?” Front line perspectives on transitioning to probabilistic fluvial flood forecasts in England

Contributed by Louise Arnal, Jess Neumann, Liz Stephens and Hannah Cloke This blog post is based on a paper recently […]

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