Verification

Ensemble prediction: past, present and future

Contributed by Fredrik Wetterhall and Roberto Buizza, ECMWF The work of producing meteorological ensemble forecasts started 25 years ago at […]

What to look for when using forecasts from NWP models for streamflow forecasting?

By Durga Lal Shrestha, James Bennett, David Robertson and QJ Wang, members of the CSIRO Columnist Team There have been […]

FcstVerChallenge: will you join the HEPEX team?

You may have read Florian's recent post on the WMO's "forecast verification challenge". In short: the WMO's World Weather Research […]

A user-oriented forecast verification metric competition

Forecast performance is one of the most central themes not only in day-to-day weather forecasting, but also in HEPEX. It […]

How good is my forecasting method? Some thoughts on forecast evaluation using cross-validation based on Australian experiences

Contributed by David Robertson, James Bennett and Andrew Schepen, members of the CSIRO Guest Columnist Team As hydrological forecasting researchers, […]

Analogues are the new deterministic forecasts

by Marie-Amélie Boucher, a HEPEX 2015 Guest Columnist According to Krzysztofowicz (2001), “Probabilistic forecasts are scientifically more honest , enable risk-based […]